A few days ago, I came across an article in the French It Mag commenting about the results of the Indian IT services companies which have been collapsing on a continuous basis since late 2007. Many of them have even registered losses. This information, except in the case of Satyam, still surprised me for the simple reason that the downward trend was even more staggering because these corporations had at one time posted incredibly high returns. Some have even shown 30% EBIT on hundreds of millions. The scarcity of customers in these times of crisis does not seem possible to explain totally this rapid fall.
I see several possibilities:
But anyway, the current drop is not consistent with the declining profits of U.S., Eastern and Western European companies, which share the same customer base. They are not in the process of undergoing a shift from +30% to -10! The most profitables-ones will go from 12% to a balanced financial statement and the worst performers will go from 3% to -5%. In short, the decline in profits will be limited to less than a dozen points.
It remains to be seen whether the dire predictions of this article will be confirmed or not, sweeping aside in the latter case the value of this short note.





















